Thursday, December 28, 2017

Why India Has't Done So Well As Other Countries

India used to be one of the great agricultural countries of the world. They have the weather, the soil the rain, the labor and everything else but the government in India protected the farmers. A farmer  cannot own more than 12 acres, that's for their own good, that's to protect them from the evil foreigners etc etc. 

How can somebody with 12 acres compete with an  Australian farmer that has 120,000 acres or a million acres? whatever They cannot compete with 12 acres but the Indian government is protecting all of those poor farmers like they protect many, many parts of Indian economy and that's one of the reasons why India has not done as well as China or other places.

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Raising Interest Rates May Be The Catalyst For A Drop

It will be a catalyst or maybe the catalyst if that causes the stocks to finally go down. You know stocks have been going up for nine years, that's very unusual in in market history. It doesn't mean they can't go up 19 years without a correction but it's unusual so we're getting closer and closer.

What I said was we're going to have more economic problems and market problems, we've always had them so saying that we're going to have more economic problem it seems to me it's pretty much like saying, "well next next week it's going to rain", I mean it's the way the world works.

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures, Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Gold: I'm Waiting For It To Go Down

I'm not selling any of my gold. I'm not buying gold. I'm sitting and watching, I'm still waiting for gold to go down so that I can buy more. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))

Friday, December 22, 2017

Market Outlook: US Stocks, Commodities, Bitcoin



"I suspect US stocks will go up for a while and then down by this time next year."

A video market update on the stock market, commodities and Bitcoin.

I'm Not Buying Stocks Here

I'm not a buyer here. Stocks have been going straight up, I don't like to buy straight up.

Related trading instruments: Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

50 Years Ago, Burma Was The Richest Country In Asia

Fifty years ago, Burma was the richest country in Asia. They closed off, got the foreigners out and fifty years later Myanmar was the poorest country in Asia.  

Related trading instruments: iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM)

Monday, December 18, 2017

Investment Opportunity: Agriculture In The US

Agriculture in America is pretty depressed right now as you probably know maybe an area where there's an investment opportunity. But just because something is depressed doesn't mean you should be investing there because it can stay depress for a long, long, long time. You have to find a change that's taking place as well. Something can be depressed from 15 or 20 years, you have to find the change and change doesn't happen every day but if you can find something cheap and if you can find a positive change maybe you should do more homework and find an investment.

Related: PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)

Investing: The Right Time, The Right Asset

Futures or calls at the right time on the right item will make you a staggering amount of money.

Gold Is Just Another Commodity

Investing is qualitative, quantitative, it's everything. I mean, I wish it was that simple. I wish you could just look at turn to page 37 and say ah there's the answer. There is no simple answer in the investment world, it's a combination of everything and that's the case with gold and everything else. Gold has been around for thousands of years, gold has had many periods when it's been in a bull market and many periods when it's in a bear market. Gold it's just another investment. I know that many people think it is a currency, gold is just another investment like everything else. Just another commodity like everything else.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Bitcoin: Bubbles Can Go On For A Long Time

If I just took out the facts of this industry whatever you want to call it, sector, you know ten years ago there were none. Now there are over 2,000 and if I gave you that fact and then I showed you the charts of 100 of them or a thousand of them and they all go straight up you would say whatever what is that that's a bubble, whether it's cotton or Brazilian stocks or whatever it happens to be you would say that's a bubble. So it looks like a bubble but bubbles can go on a long time a lot you and they often do but just because it looks like a bubble doesn't mean it's the end of the story.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

The World Has A Money Problem: Gold, Silver and Bitcoin

The world has a money problem, we all are losing confidence in government's, we're losing confidence in paper money. Throughout history when that has happened people have looked for something else frequently it has been gold and silver. You cannot change thousands of years of people's habits or incarnations or thoughts pretty easily so gold and silver have not lost their place in the world's system.

Bitcoin: It Looks Like A Bubble

It looks like a bubble but bubbles can go on for a long time and they often do but just because it looks like a bubble doesn't mean it's the end of the story.

Monday, December 11, 2017

This Economic System Cannot Last

The economic system which has evolved in the world especially in the US but not just the US cannot be sustained because it is built on staggering amounts of debt. The United States is now the largest debtor nation not just in the world but in the history of the world. No country has ever gotten so deep in debt and the debt goes higher and higher every day.

Nobody's doing anything about it except some worrying like me or worry knowing it cannot go on and not only is it based on lots of debt but to sustain the debt or to maintain it they now print a lot of money. The central bank in America gets out its printing presses, prints a lot of money and uses that to finance the debt going forward so this cannot last forever. I'm afraid it's not gonna last too much longer because we're getting to the end of the road.

Sunday, December 10, 2017

The Reason Why I Prefer Japanese and Chinese Shares

It looks like there's a blowout in place you know and it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having one now. But I would buy Japan if this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down 50 percent from their all-time, high Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd rather buy low instead of buying high. 

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Tuesday, December 5, 2017

U.S. Stock Market: One Year From Now, Stocks Will Be Lower

I suspect we will hit new more new highs which will surprise everybody including me but next year at this time stocks will be down.

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures

Bitcoin: The Chart Looks Like A Bubble

If you just showed me charts and showed me what's happened in that market over the past year or two and didn't tell me what it was I would say, "this looks like every bubble I've ever read about".

I don't own any Bitcoin, I've never bought or sold so I'm not a good one to ask but it sure looks like the picture of every bubble I've seen.

Stock Market: There's a Blowout in Place

It looks like there's a blowout in place you know and it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having one now. But I would buy Japan if this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down 50 percent from their all-time, high Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd rather buy low instead of buying high.

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

The Reason Why I'm Investing in Russia

In my experience I have learned that if you find something that's hated, that has a lot of value and things are getting better you probably will do fine and that's why I'm investing in Russia. (Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Investing: Agriculture Will Do Well In The Next Bear Market

I'm very optimistic about Agriculture's been a disaster for 35 years and it's changing in my view. It's changing so if you're worried about the world and that we are going to have a serious bear market you should think about agriculture because agriculture will probably do well, that is a place that will probably decouple in the next bear market.

Commodities: Coal, Steel and Agriculture

I'm a director of a coal company so we obviously should worry about Chinese coal. I do own commodities yes, but Steel is not high on my list because it's there's no real active futures market but some commodities I'm very optimistic about. Agriculture's been a disaster for 35 years it's changing in my view. 

Monday, November 27, 2017

A Hot Sector In China

If you're cleaning up pollution in China you don't care if the West disappears as you're too busy going to work every day and you're making too much money but the companies that have debt and deal with the West are gonna have problems the next time around.

Buying Opportunities In Japan, China and Taiwan

I bought stocks this week in China, Japan, Taiwan so I see opportunities on the long side in markets. That doesn't mean I'm right. A bear market may start today but I see opportunities. But if you're worried about that you need to know how to sell short. Great fortunes can be made in a bear market selling short.

Friday, November 24, 2017

The Worst Bear Market In A Lifetime

What I have said was that we will have a bear market again some day.  Now, Janet Yellen says we wwill not, she says everything is okay now and there won't be any more economic problems. I happen to disagree with her and I know we will have bear markets again.

What I said was the next one we have when it comes is going to be the worst in my lifetime, the reason for that being in 2008 we had a problem of too much debt,  the next time around the debt is so so so much higher, so the next time we have a bear market is gonna be the worst in my lifetime.

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

The Use Of Stop Losses

Some of the smartest people I know use stop losses, whatever number they use. I have never used stop losses but I frequently wish I had. In fact the more I read the more I think "maybe I should start using stop losses", I don't have anything to lose much by doing a stop loss and it might help me a lot.

Monday, November 20, 2017

Bitcoin: The World Has A Money Problem

We know the world has a money problem of various sorts. We know that everything has been changed by the computer  and will continue to be. So, yes the computer and the Internet are going to change money as we know it. If you go to China right now, people don't have money. It's astonishing the minute they buy a cup of coffee they put their phone on the thing and there's a cup of coffee paid for.

Friday, November 17, 2017

A Different Kind Of Diversification



Jim Rogers explains why you should have more than one passaport and more than one house to live in different countries. 

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

You're Going To See Bankruptcies In China

Even China has debt and you're going to see bankruptcies in China which is going to shock a lot of people including me and I know what's coming. (iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF (FXI), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Monday, November 13, 2017

The Worst Financial Crisis In Our Lifetimes

We're going to have the worst financial crisis in our lifetimes because of the debt. There is no question that the debts are now staggering. We've never seen the likes in the world and in Japan they have zero interest rates, negative real interest  rates so if interest rates ever go up to 2%, it totally destroys Japan.

Related trading instruments: iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ), Nikkei 225 Index

Friday, November 10, 2017

Gigantic Trauma Is Coming In The Debt Markets

There is no question that gigantic trauma is coming in the debt markets and many debts are going to be wiped out whether it's by bankruptcy or military action or who knows what, there's no question about it.

Thursday, November 9, 2017

Q: Are you buying or selling gold at the moment?

Neither at the moment. I own a lot of gold and silver. I haven't bought any serious gold in a few years.

I'm waiting for gold to go down more at which point I hope I'm smart enough to buy a lot more gold because before this is over gold is gonna go up a lot, it's gonna get very overpriced, it might even turn into a bubble. I hope it doesn't turn into a bubble because then I'll have to sell and I don't want to ever sell my gold, my children will have my gold someday. But no, I am a potential buyer, I have never sold any, I don't expect to sell any gold unless and until it becomes a bubble someday.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Sooner or Later Governments Are Going To Crack Down On Crypto Currencies

Governments could issue their own crypto currencies, they could control it that way because governments don't like any of this. They don't like gold for that reason, they want to be able to control everything.

Related trading instruments: Bitcoin, SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Investing: My Thoughts On Japan

Japan has staggering debt as we all know, they have a declining population and the debt is going through the roof. Mr. Abe says he's going to do whatever it takes, he'll print as much money as it takes and he'll spend as much money as it takes. That cannot last. It never occurred to me that the next financial crisis might start in Japan but Japan is certainly certainly going to be a big  problem!

By the way I own Japanese shares and I'm buying more Japanese shares today just so you know but if I were a ten year old Japanese I would get myself an AK-47 or I would leave because in his lifetime or her lifetime that place is going to be a disaster.

Related trading instruments: Nikkei 225, Topix Index, iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Monday, November 6, 2017

Currencies: I Expect The UD Dollar To Move Higher

I have a lot of US dollars because when the turmoil gets worse many people look for a safe haven. Investors think the US dollar is a safe haven. It's not, America is the largest debtor nation in the history of the world and the debts are going higher but everybody thinks it's a safe haven so the US dollar will go higher and it might even turn into a bubble. I hope at that point I'm smart enough to sell it and put my money somewhere else. It might be gold, who knows where it will be but at the moment I own a lot of US dollars.

Friday, November 3, 2017

Q: Where To Invest (Iran, Nigeria or Kazakhstan)?

Iran, Nigeria or Kazakhstan... Well, my first reaction is Iran but it would be very, very difficult for me because I'm an American. So, I guess I would have to say Kazakhstan. (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Thursday, November 2, 2017

Chinese Shares: My Plan

I haven't sold any Chinese shares and I have been investing there for decades. My plan is that my children someday are going to look back and say, "He must have been very smart, oh! God look at all these Chinese shares, we've got rich!" That's my plan but if things develop in certain ways I'll have to sell, I mean if for instance a bubble develops I have to sell. So, I may sell some of my Chinese shares between here and there. (iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF (FXI), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Wednesday, November 1, 2017

Fintech, Banks and Technology

My children will never walk into a bank branch when they become adults as by then all the banks along the streets will be replaced by computers and certainly mobile phones. (Citigroup (c), Wells Fargo (WFC), JP Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC))

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