Sunday, October 14, 2018

Is The Fed Going ‘Loco’?

The truth is the Federal Reserve did go crazy a few years ago and drove interests rate down to zero which had never happened in history. Now, they are trying to get sanity back and raise them to the proper level.

Global Markets: Investment Opportunities

The Chinese market is down 60% from its all-time highs, the Japanese market is down 50% from its all-time highs. Russia is hated, Zimbabwe has just thrown out a absolutely absurd dictator who ruined the country for 40 years. There are great opportunities there. I've recently invested in a little bit not much in Ghana. Ghana was ruined but Ghana is changing dramatically. They have really smart, knowledgeable people running Ghana now.

Thursday, October 11, 2018

U.S. Stocks Are Weighting Too Much

U.S. stocks are so dominant among developed markets that their position has become “unsustainable,” according to Luca Paolini, Pictet Asset Management Ltd.’s chief strategist. 

Paolini made the argument Wednesday in a Twitter post that showed the country’s weight within the MSCI World Index, representing 23 countries. The U.S. share rose to a record 62.5 percent last month and closed just below that peak Wednesday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “Overblown” earnings estimates are among reasons why the percentage is poised to fall, he wrote.

Source: David Wilson, Bloomberg

Ray Dalio: The “War” with China Is Spreading

A fantastic diagram from Ray Dalio of where we currently stand:

"Because geopolitics is playing a greater role in driving economies and markets than any time in my over 50 years of investing, I am thinking a lot more about it." - Ray Dalio

Stock Market Update

Read the latest stock market updates from Peter Schiff: It's Not A Normal Bull Market Correction and My Feeling About The Stock Market Was Confirmed

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

Investing: Korea Is Going To Be The Most Exciting Country In The World

Korea is going to be the most exciting country in the world for 10 or 20 years once North Korea is open and they unite. It's going to be very exciting for many reasons.

You know as recently as 1970 North Korea was richer than South Korea. Communism ruins everything and so it ruined North Korea which means that North Korea is extremely cheap with lots of educated, disciplined and cheap labor plus lots of natural resources, standing right on the Chinese border. Combine that with lots of capital in the south, lots of know-how in the south. iIt's going to be very exciting. The Japanese are against it because Japan knows they cannot compete with an open Korea and they're doing.

Podcast: Jim Rogers On Follow The Money Radio

Latest podcast with Jerry Robinson (Follow the Money Radio)
October 2018

Topics discussed:

Jim Rogers views on the US Economy, the trade war with China and business in general.

Tuesday, October 9, 2018

There's No Such Thing As Winning A Trade War

There's no such thing as winning a trade war. Do you see what's happening with NAFTA right now? Mr. Trump is shouting from the rooftops that he's won but you look at the results it means that the price of cars are gonna go up a lot for American citizens. I'm not sure how that's good for America. Maybe it's good for a few automobile workers but it's not good for most Americans.

The Problems With The US Economy

Someone has to cut spending with a with an axe, not not with an axe with a chainsaw! Someone has to cut taxes, we have a gigantic litigation problem in the US... 

We spend two or three or four times as much on health care as any other nation in the world and yet we're not even in the top 25 for life expectancy. We spend huge amounts of money on education and yet we are even in the top 25 for education results... 

I mean I could go on and on and on. One of the reasons we have this huge balance of trade deficit is because the high cost of health care and litigation. It cuts our competitiveness a great deal.

Monday, October 8, 2018

Stock Market: Underneath There Are Problems Developing

Staggering amounts of debt are being created even more than in the past and who would have thought it possible that we could build up even more debt than before but we are. And it's going into markets but as you probably know not all stocks are going up.

In fact, a great number of stocks are going down and other countries in the world are not participating like we are in the US stock market. So, underneath there are more problems developing.

Peter Schiff: The Carnage on Wall Street Has Already Begun

October is just one week old and the carnage on Wall Street has already begun I wonder if the October complacency is starting to be shaken a bit with the down move that we see. The catalyst is rising interest rates which of course the markets have been ignoring.

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

Habits, Compound Interest & Self-Improvement

A great quote,

"Habits are the compound interest of self improvement." 

- James Clear, Author of Atomic Habits

Mark Minervini: How To Spot The End Of A Bear Market

"Once the masses accept every pullback as simply another buying opportunity and ignore the risk in stocks, the end of a bull market is near. This was the case during virtually every strong bull market in history."

- Mark Minervini, momentum stocks trader profiled in the Stock Market Wizards book (October 3rd, 2018)

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Peter Schiff: How Crude Oil Can Make New All-TIme Highs

I believe that if we see a real bear market in the US Dollar in 2019-2020, by the time the 2020 election comes around oil prices could have taken out the high price that they hit back in 2008 which was around 140-150 dollars a barrel.

Peter Schiff: Weak Stocks Beneath The Surface

If you look at some of the sectors that continue to get beat up making new 52 week lows so even though the headlines are probably gonna be about the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) making another all-time record high, beneath the surface are a lot of stocks that are having a lot of problems.

Asia Is More Efficient

If you landed at JFK airport, you landed at a third world Airport and you enter into a third world taxi on a third world highway into a third world 5-star Hotel. You go to Singapore and you're out of the airport in 12 minutes. I didn't say out of the plane, you're out of the airport. Same thing now in the new Hong Kong Airport. For whatever reason they're efficient they're modern they work.

Tuesday, October 2, 2018

The US dollar Is Going To Get Overpriced

I own a lot of US dollars right now, a lot of US dollars! Because what happens  when the there's a crisis or turmoil people look for a safe haven. Yes, they think the US dollar is the safe haven so the US dollar is going to get overpriced it could even turn into a bubble depending on how bad the turmoil is at which point I'll sell my US Dollars and put it into something else.

Monday, October 1, 2018

The Gold Standard Has Never Worked

The gold standard has never worked it's worked for short periods of time but what happens is and you go back into history you see that the goals that God what reason it never works is because it's a great discipline you have to do you have to run a sound economy and politicians don't like sound discipline so what happens is they always change it.

Central Banks Will Ruin Us All

They actually think they're doing the right thing. In their off moments when they are not being recorded they will admit "Oh gosh, it's an experiment, we have no idea if this is good" but the reason is because they messed up so many places so many times they don't know what they're doing and in the end they're gonna ruin us all. They this is more or less their last experiment, their last gasp, because when this ends it's gonna be very very bad.

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