Thursday, December 28, 2017

Why India Has't Done So Well As Other Countries

India used to be one of the great agricultural countries of the world. They have the weather, the soil the rain, the labor and everything else but the government in India protected the farmers. A farmer  cannot own more than 12 acres, that's for their own good, that's to protect them from the evil foreigners etc etc. 

How can somebody with 12 acres compete with an  Australian farmer that has 120,000 acres or a million acres? whatever They cannot compete with 12 acres but the Indian government is protecting all of those poor farmers like they protect many, many parts of Indian economy and that's one of the reasons why India has not done as well as China or other places.

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Raising Interest Rates May Be The Catalyst For A Drop

It will be a catalyst or maybe the catalyst if that causes the stocks to finally go down. You know stocks have been going up for nine years, that's very unusual in in market history. It doesn't mean they can't go up 19 years without a correction but it's unusual so we're getting closer and closer.

What I said was we're going to have more economic problems and market problems, we've always had them so saying that we're going to have more economic problem it seems to me it's pretty much like saying, "well next next week it's going to rain", I mean it's the way the world works.

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures, Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Gold: I'm Waiting For It To Go Down

I'm not selling any of my gold. I'm not buying gold. I'm sitting and watching, I'm still waiting for gold to go down so that I can buy more. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))

Friday, December 22, 2017

Market Outlook: US Stocks, Commodities, Bitcoin



"I suspect US stocks will go up for a while and then down by this time next year."

A video market update on the stock market, commodities and Bitcoin.

I'm Not Buying Stocks Here

I'm not a buyer here. Stocks have been going straight up, I don't like to buy straight up.

Related trading instruments: Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

50 Years Ago, Burma Was The Richest Country In Asia

Fifty years ago, Burma was the richest country in Asia. They closed off, got the foreigners out and fifty years later Myanmar was the poorest country in Asia.  

Related trading instruments: iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM)

Monday, December 18, 2017

Investment Opportunity: Agriculture In The US

Agriculture in America is pretty depressed right now as you probably know maybe an area where there's an investment opportunity. But just because something is depressed doesn't mean you should be investing there because it can stay depress for a long, long, long time. You have to find a change that's taking place as well. Something can be depressed from 15 or 20 years, you have to find the change and change doesn't happen every day but if you can find something cheap and if you can find a positive change maybe you should do more homework and find an investment.

Related: PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)

Investing: The Right Time, The Right Asset

Futures or calls at the right time on the right item will make you a staggering amount of money.

Gold Is Just Another Commodity

Investing is qualitative, quantitative, it's everything. I mean, I wish it was that simple. I wish you could just look at turn to page 37 and say ah there's the answer. There is no simple answer in the investment world, it's a combination of everything and that's the case with gold and everything else. Gold has been around for thousands of years, gold has had many periods when it's been in a bull market and many periods when it's in a bear market. Gold it's just another investment. I know that many people think it is a currency, gold is just another investment like everything else. Just another commodity like everything else.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Bitcoin: Bubbles Can Go On For A Long Time

If I just took out the facts of this industry whatever you want to call it, sector, you know ten years ago there were none. Now there are over 2,000 and if I gave you that fact and then I showed you the charts of 100 of them or a thousand of them and they all go straight up you would say whatever what is that that's a bubble, whether it's cotton or Brazilian stocks or whatever it happens to be you would say that's a bubble. So it looks like a bubble but bubbles can go on a long time a lot you and they often do but just because it looks like a bubble doesn't mean it's the end of the story.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

The World Has A Money Problem: Gold, Silver and Bitcoin

The world has a money problem, we all are losing confidence in government's, we're losing confidence in paper money. Throughout history when that has happened people have looked for something else frequently it has been gold and silver. You cannot change thousands of years of people's habits or incarnations or thoughts pretty easily so gold and silver have not lost their place in the world's system.

Bitcoin: It Looks Like A Bubble

It looks like a bubble but bubbles can go on for a long time and they often do but just because it looks like a bubble doesn't mean it's the end of the story.

Monday, December 11, 2017

This Economic System Cannot Last

The economic system which has evolved in the world especially in the US but not just the US cannot be sustained because it is built on staggering amounts of debt. The United States is now the largest debtor nation not just in the world but in the history of the world. No country has ever gotten so deep in debt and the debt goes higher and higher every day.

Nobody's doing anything about it except some worrying like me or worry knowing it cannot go on and not only is it based on lots of debt but to sustain the debt or to maintain it they now print a lot of money. The central bank in America gets out its printing presses, prints a lot of money and uses that to finance the debt going forward so this cannot last forever. I'm afraid it's not gonna last too much longer because we're getting to the end of the road.

Sunday, December 10, 2017

The Reason Why I Prefer Japanese and Chinese Shares

It looks like there's a blowout in place you know and it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having one now. But I would buy Japan if this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down 50 percent from their all-time, high Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd rather buy low instead of buying high. 

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Tuesday, December 5, 2017

U.S. Stock Market: One Year From Now, Stocks Will Be Lower

I suspect we will hit new more new highs which will surprise everybody including me but next year at this time stocks will be down.

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures

Bitcoin: The Chart Looks Like A Bubble

If you just showed me charts and showed me what's happened in that market over the past year or two and didn't tell me what it was I would say, "this looks like every bubble I've ever read about".

I don't own any Bitcoin, I've never bought or sold so I'm not a good one to ask but it sure looks like the picture of every bubble I've seen.

Stock Market: There's a Blowout in Place

It looks like there's a blowout in place you know and it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having one now. But I would buy Japan if this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down 50 percent from their all-time, high Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd rather buy low instead of buying high.

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