Life In Asia

I realized when I first came to China in the eighties that China would be the next great country in the world and I used to tell people to teach their children Mandarin. Both of my daughters are fluent in Mandarin. The little one is just now in a Chinese movie as a matter of fact.

Global Fintech Innovation Summit

Tomi Wen (Huobi China CEO) have been awarded the "Distinguished Blockchain Individual" at Global Fintech Innovation Summit and the award was handed out by Jim Rogers.

Markets: You Are Going To See Bankruptcies in China

In 2008 China had huge amounts of money saved for a rainy day. It started raining and they started spending the money and helped save the world.

But now even China has debt. China has a lot of debt so in the next time around you gonna see Chinese companies with debt to deal with. The good news is Beijing has said they are going to let them go bankrupt. I hope they mean it. In America we don't let people go bankrupt but in China they say they are going to let people go bankrupt. I hope so. It will be a shock to a lot of people including me and I just told you it's going to happen. You are going to see bankruptcies in China because they have a lot of debt now.

The Digital Economy Is Going To Change Everything

The digital economy is going to change dramatically everything we think we know. My children will never go to a bank, a post office, a doctor and things we don’t even know about.

It’s going to be exciting, I hope we get it right.

2018: Best Investing Quotes (Part 2)

Here's the second part of the best investing one-liners from Jim Rogers in 2018, sorted by topic.

On investing and timing:

"Historically when there's a huge short position in anything it goes up."

On the Federal Reserve:

"First of all, we have a central bank which has no clue what it's been doing and probably also not what it will do in the future."

"When things go wrong they're gonna make more mistakes."

On politics: 

"Certainly nobody wants to be a communist and if they want to be a socialist, they want to be a rich socialist." 

"No communist nation or a communist country has ever succeeded."

2018: Best Investing Quotes (Part 1)

Here's a collection of the best investing one-liners from Jim Rogers in 2018 by topic.

On trade wars:

Trump, in his brain, thinks he can win a trade war and that a trade war is good for him. 

Nobody's ever won a trade war, history is very clear about the effects of trade wars.

About crude oil:

Crude oil is in the process of making a complicated bottom.

It will go higher because reserves are declining everywhere in the world except fracking but that bubble the fracking bubble broke.

On commodities:

Sugar, believe it or not, is down something like 80% from its all-time high.

The highest rate of suicide in the UK is in agriculture.

On emerging markets:

Exciting things are happening in Venezuela right now.

Korea is probably going to be the most exciting country in the world once North Korea opens which will and very soon.

About investing in general:

Historically when there's a huge short position in anything it goes up. 

Only invest in what you, yourself know a lot about.



Have a great 2019!

Life & Investing: Embrace Change

Those who can not adjust to change will be swept aside by it. Those who recognize change and react accordingly will benefit.

If anybody laughs at your idea, view it as a sign of potential success!

Investing: Learn To Be A Little More Attentive

If people learn to be a little more attentive to what they see they might wind up making investments and they might be successful.

Personal Finance: One of The Best Things I Can Tell You

One of the best things I can tell you is do not have a lot of debt and try to stay away from people that have a lot of debt.

Podcast: Inside The Markets with Jim Rogers

Inside The Markets, podcast with Jim Rogers (20 min)

Topics: 

- the recent U.S. stock market volatility;
- the U.S. stock market has probably made a complicated top;
- the effect of rising interest rates on real estate, stocks;
- the debt situation is out of control;

Related trading instruments: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Futures;

Video: The Big Story - Venezuela

Real Vision documentary on Venezuela.

Mr. Rogers recently commented on Venezuela's current and future prospects and you can read that article here: Venezuela: Exciting Things Are Happening

Gold: Where To Buy

If and when gold goes under $1,000 an ounce my plan is to buy a lot of gold. I haven't bought any serious gold since 2010.

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) 
• Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) 

Commodities Will Outperform Stocks Going Forward

Jim Rogers explained to Commodity Trade Mantra the reasons why he thinks commodities will likely perform better than stocks in the future. You can read the article here: Commodities Are Going To Do Better Than Stocks – Write It Down Says Jim Rogers

Related trading instruments: 

• PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)
• United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)
• Nymex Copper Futures
• Nymex Crude Oil futures

Ananti Appoints Jim Rogers As A Non-Executive Director

Ananti, a Korean resort developer, announced that the company has appointed Jim Rogers as a non-executive director. You can read the full story on The Korea Herald here: Ananti shares soar on Jim Rogers’ appointment

Rogers Draws Parallels With 1930s Collapse of World Economy

In this recent interview with Nikkei Asian Review, Jim Rogers draws a parallel between the current trade war situation and the collapse of the world economy in the 1930s. Read the interview here: US and China risk full-fledged trade war as Trump sees he can win

Markets: I Own Russian Shares, Bonds

“China’s down 60 percent from its all-time high. Japan’s down 50 percent... Russia is hated – I own Russian shares; I own Russian bonds; I own the currency.” - Jim Rogers, in Money Week

Related trading instruments:

• Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX)

Commodities Will Do Better Than Stocks

“It is the time to buy commodities again. I would say to you, write it down – commodities are going to do better than stocks.” - Jim Rogers (in Money Week)

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)
• United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)
• PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)

Markets: Trade War, Pollution Control and Marijuana Stocks

Read Jim Rogers most recent interview on Nikkei Asian Review here: US and China risk full-fledged trade war as Trump sees he can win

Topics: 

- Trade war
- China/ US tensions
- Investment themes: pollution control and marijuana stocks

 "Trump, in his brain, thinks he can win a trade war and that a trade war is good for him." 
- Jim Rogers, Nikkei Asian Review (December 2018)

A Trade War May Lead To A Real War

Historically trade wars have always been a disaster. Nobody's ever won a trade war, history is very clear about the effects of trade wars.

Now, I don't know if President Trump knows history or cares. He thinks he's smarter than history, maybe he is, I don't know. But nobody's ever been smarter than trade wars and trade wars frequently or often have led to real wars.

Crude Oil: Making A Complicated Bottom

Oil reserves peaked sometime ago except for fracking. Fracking came along turned into a bubble that bubble has popped now but that caused a glut of oil for a while.

Crude oil is in the process of making a complicated bottom. We'll look back in a few years and say in 2015-2019 crude oil made its bottom. It will go higher because reserves are declining everywhere in the world except fracking but that bubble the fracking bubble broke.

Commodities Will Outperform Stocks

In this article, Mr. Rogers explains why commodities will likely outperform stocks going forward: Commodities Are Going To Do Better Than Stocks – Write It Down Says Jim Rogers

“Sugar, believe it or not, is down something like 80% from its all-time high. [T]here’s not much in the world, in life, that’s down 80% over the past 40 years.” 

Jim Rogers on Money Week

Read the latest article about Jim Rogers on Money Week here: Jim Rogers: what to buy now (Moneyweek.com)

Mr. Rogers latest insights include comments about emerging markets like Zimbabwe and about the current state of financial markets worldwide. 

Venezuela: Exciting Things Are Happening

Exciting things are happening in Venezuela right now. They're always places in the world that are turning the corner. When you read the headlines you must learn to look beyond the headlines to see what's really happening. 

Venezuela is a horrible disaster. It's one of the worst disasters in the history of mankind, yes. But they know it too now. They're smart enough to know that they've made many mistakes and they're starting to change. They now have removed exchange controls. Unbelievable for a country like Venezuela! They're starting to try to figure out, "Oh my gosh what do we do next?" That's when you buy. You find a country that's at the bottom when changes are starting to take place. At times Venezuela has been one of the richest countries in the Western Hemisphere and it will be again.

Korea Will Be The Most Exciting Country In The World

Korea is probably going to be the most exciting country in the world once North Korea opens which will and very soon. I mean it's right on the Chinese border, 80 million people, natural resources, cheap disciplined labor... It has lots of things going for it.

Related tickers:

• iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund ETF (EWY)

Agriculture Will Be A Good Place To Invest

Agriculture has been a disaster. In the past 30 odd years Agriculture has been a nightmare. 

The average age of farmers in America is now 58. Nobody wants to be a farm. More people in America study public relations then study agriculture because it's been a horrendous place to be. The highest rate of suicide in the UK is in agriculture.

It's been a nightmare so it's going to change. We've had long periods in history when the agriculture, the producers of real Goods have been an on top followed by long periods when the financial types have been on top but it always changes and is changing again.

Bear Markets: What Gets Hurt The Most

Every time there's been a big bear market the places where everybody has invested those are the ones that get hurt the most.

Emerging Markets: Zimbabwe

I'm buying Zimbabwe. You know, Zimbabwe was ruined for 40 years by a crazy dictator. There's a new guy, he may be worse, he may be better but he's certainly different. So, you should think about Zimbabwe if you're looking for something to buy.

Crude Oil Prices: Don't Pay Attention To OPEC

Jim Rogers explains why he does not listen to what OPEC says or doesn't say about crude oil when he makes his investment decisions.

When There's A Huge Short Position In Anything It Goes Up

Historically when there's a huge short position in anything it goes up. I was making the point that while I wasn't buying gold and silver there is a huge short position so you're probably going to have a nice rally. That nice rally has proceeded to occur. I'm still not buying but I'm not selling. I'm waiting for a nice collapse in both.

Commodities Will Do Better Than Stocks

"It is the time to buy commodities again. I would say to you, you write it down that commodities are going to do better than stocks in the future." 

- Jim Rogers, interviewed by Sprott Media's Remy Blaire at the NASDAQ MarketSite
(November 20th, 2018)

Emerging Markets In Africa: Ghana & Zimbabwe

If you can't find Zimbabwe in a map, if you don't know what Ghana is please do not invest in either of those countries.

Only invest in what you, yourself know a lot about. I assure you, if you don't know that Ghana has a lot of cocoa and a lot of gold please don't pay attention. 

If you can't even spell Zimbabwe please don't invest there. It has enormous opportunities, huge mineral deposits, lots of agricultural and tourism in the future. But don't do it if you don't know what to do. They have a stock exchange, there are mutual funds there ways to invest but only invest if you know what you're doing.

The Biggest Risk Is Washington DC

Washington DC. That's where the the greatest risk are right now, the greatest uncertainty.

First of all, we have a central bank which has no clue what it's been doing and probably also not what it will do in the future. We certainly have an executive and legislative branch which had no clue about what they're doing.

When things go wrong they're gonna make more mistakes. Be careful. Watch out for Washington DC, watch out for everything but especially Washington DC.

Investing: China, Japan and Russia

China is down 60 percent from its all-time high, Japan is down 50 percent from its all-time high. I'm not buying Japan and I don't own Japan at the moment but these are places that are down and down a lot and these are the places that you should be looking. Russia is hated... I own Russian shares and Russian bonds.

Commodities: Sugar Is 80% From Its All-Time High

Sugar believe it or not is down something like 80 percent from its all-time high. There's not much in the world that's down 80 percent over the past 40 years but sugar is.

Gold: There Will Be A Great Opportunity To Buy

If goes under 1,000 dollars per ounce, my plan is to buy a lot of gold. I haven't bought any serious gold since 2010. I own gold, haven't sold any gold. Don't think I have sold any but I still expect another opportunity to buy gold. If it happens, I hope I'm smart enough to buy a lot of gold, a lot more gold I should say.

Video: Markets, Gold & Commodities

Jim Rogers talks with Remy Blaire at the Nasdaq Marketsite about the markets (November 20, 2018)

Other interesting articles:

Ray Dalio: Current Market Cycle, Trade War
Smart Money Is Buying Precious Metals

Weekend's Reading

Here's a selection of some interesting reading for the weekend:

My Thoughts on Artificial Intelligence (AI) (Ray Dalio)
What Work Is (Ray Dalio)
Investing and Baseball: A Great Analogy (Warren Buffett)
Nassim Taleb: Skin In The Game 
In The Short Run Gold & Silver Are Going Way Up

One More Rally Before The Big Bear Market

Jim Rogers giving more than investment advice at the 100 Women in Finance lunch today in Singapore.

Hot tip: teach your kids Mandarin.

His general view is that there is one more rally before the big bear market.

(100WF is a global network of professionals in the finance & alternative investment industries working together to empower women at every stage of their careers)

Investing and Baseball: A Great Analogy

A very interesting analogy between baseball and investing from the legendary investor, Warren Buffett.

Markets: Central Banks, Interest Rates & Trade War

Some of the highlights from the blog over the last few weeks:

Markets: The Central Bank Will Do Something 
Interest Rates Are Going Much Higher
Younger Investors Tend To Do Great In Bull Markets 
Trade War: Trump Thinks He Is Smarter Than History 

Bull Markets End In Hysteria, Bear Markets End In Panic

"Every bull market ends in hysteria, every bear market ends in panic."
- Jim Rogers


Interesting reading:

Goldman Sachs (GS) In Bear Market Territory. Other Financials Will Follow 
Apple (AAPL) Stock Is In Bear Market Territory

Nasim Taleb: Skin In The Game

Nassim Taleb gave a fantastic presentation about his latest book, "Skin in a Game" at Google Talks on November 2018.

Charlie Munger Reveals The Secrets To Getting Rich

If you aren't willing to react with equanimity to a market price decline of 50% 2 or 3 times a century you are not fit to be a common shareholder and you deserve the mediocre result you are going to get.

Do you have the temperament to be philosophical about market fluctuations?

Socialism For The Rich

"If you bail out every investment bank that gets in trouble, that’s not capitalism, that’s socialism for the rich."
- Jim Rogers