In September of 1981 the long-term bond in America was at 15.50%. I'm not talking about junk bonds, I mean Treasury bonds. By the way, one other thing, in 1981 America was a creditor nation. Now we are the largest debtor nation in the history of the world and the debt is getting higher every day, every hour.
Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Friday, March 2, 2018
Thursday, March 1, 2018
The Next Bear Market Will Be Awful
2008 was awfully bad but since then the debt has gone through the roof, goverment debt alone has doubled since 2008. So the next bear market is going to be the worst in our lifetime.
Related trading instruments:
- Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)
- Nasdaq 100 Futures
- SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
- SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Interest Rates Are Gonna Go Up For A Long Time
Q: where do you think
yields are headed to on the benchmark
10-year Treasury?
I'm not a very good market timer and I'm on
a very short term trader but I will tell
you that interest rate in America (...) we've
had very long cycles in the bond markets. Depending on how you look
interest rates or bond prices started a
bear market in 1946 which ended in 1981, you can tell that that's 35 years. Then
in 1981 we started a bull market in
bonds. Well that one is gone on for 36
years I'm 37 years.
So bull markets in
America anyway have had a habit of being
very long. So I would just suggest you
that's it's already started turning and
the interest rates are gonna go up for a
long long time. If I told you how high, you would hang up, you would stop
listening to me. So when the next bear
market comes in bonds it's gonna be a
doozy.
Central Banks: They Say It's All Going To Be OK
Since 2008
government debt around the world has
doubled. Everybody has talked about austerity and
how we're going to cut back spending and
pay off the debt etcetera but the debt
has doubled.
The debt at the American
central bank has gone up five or six
times in just nine years. This has never
happened before in recorded history. Never, ever have interest
rates been this low and they say it's
all going to be okay. You better call the
Tooth Fairy.
Monday, February 26, 2018
Investing: The Best Asian Market
The best overall market for me is China. That is why I have moved to Asia. You don't always buy the chinese market no matter the price but it's still 40 percent below its all time high.
Related trading instruments:
Related trading instruments:
- iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF (FXI)
- Shanghai Composite
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
▼
2023
(56)
-
▼
November
(51)
- Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on...
- Paul Tudor Jones: Key Insights into Trading Mastery
- Warren Buffett's Timeless Wisdom: Investing and Li...
- Wells Fargo's 2024 Market Forecast: Caution Amid V...
- Trading Minds: Jared Tendler's Guide to Mastering ...
- Surprising S&P 500 Surge: Tech Giants Lead, Optimi...
- Market Update: November's End and Future Trends
- Wisdom Unveiled: Charlie Munger's Life Principles
- Market Rollercoaster: Fund Managers Wary Amidst Ye...
- Nvidia: Q3 Triumph, China Sales Concerns, and Soar...
- Diving Oil Prices: OPEC+ Uncertainty and Saudi Con...
- Market Insights: Treasury Yields Rise, Tech Moves,...
- Visa (V) Nears All-Time High: A Decade-Long Surge ...
- Meme Stocks Surge in 2023 Market Rally
- Kohl's Faces Sales Slide as Shoppers Opt for Essen...
- Stocks Dip, Retail Woes, and Nvidia's AI Buzz
- Housing Crisis: October Home Sales Dive 4.1% – Wor...
- Tech Giants Drive Market Rally, Paramount Emerges ...
- Nvidia's Forecast Amid China Sales Anxiety
- Palo Alto Networks: Surge in Incident Requests Ind...
- LEI Signals Recession: 16-Month YoY Decline, Echoe...
- Nvidia's Surge Amid AI Drama and Thanksgiving Pause
- Year-End Stock Market Surge: The Perfect Storm for...
- Boost Your Trading Success with This Simple Hack!
- Wall Street Traders Bearish on Yen, Highest Since ...
- Steenbarger's Trading Psychology Insights
- Short-Term Trading Essentials
- US Stocks: Rally or Pause Ahead?
- Decoding Technical Indicators: Navigating the Mark...
- Paul Tudor Jones: Mastering Risk-Reward in Trading
- Tesla Stock: The Short Squeeze Dilemma
- Oil Faces Fourth Weekly Loss, OPEC+ in Focus
- Daring Moves: Hedge Fund Takes a Strategic Stand A...
- Ray Dalio Warns of Looming Challenges as U.S. Debt...
- Druckenmiller's Vision: AI Opportunities with Nvid...
- Gold Surges Amid Economic Concerns and Rate Specul...
- US Crude Prices Plunge 5% on Rising Inventories an...
- Paul Tudor Jones Diversifies Portfolio with Key Ad...
- Small Caps Soar: 97% Green – A Market Day Unlike A...
- Burry Bears Down on Semiconductors: Scion's Strate...
- UK Inflation Plummets to 4.6% in October, a Two-Ye...
- Druckenmiller's Dual Outlook: Deficit Concerns and...
- Tech Dominance Soars: 47% Surge in 2023, Highest R...
- Burry's Bold Moves: Closing Major Bets and Unveili...
- Einhorn's Market Concerns Amidst Geopolitical Tens...
- Appaloosa Trims Holdings in QCOM, TSM, and INTC
- Appaloosa Management Adjusts Portfolio: Boosts Ama...
- Iron Ore Shortfall Forecast Despite China's Fiscal...
- Target (TGT) Triumph: Profits Soar 15% with Operat...
- Post-Rally: Treasuries Decline, U.S. Retail Resili...
- Inflation Eases: U.S. Producer Prices Fall Below F...
-
▼
November
(51)