Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Markets: Inflation Is Coming Back
We have inflation coming back, we have staggering amounts of debt. So I suspect that market interest rates are just going to keep trading higher. (iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond ETF (TLT))
Stock Market: Its Far Ahead of Itself
The stock market is far ahead of itself at the moment. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Futures, Russell 2000 Index)
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Trade Wars: It Will Lead to Bankruptcy and War
Trade wars have always failed. Trade wars have always led to bankruptcy and often to war throughout history. Even the people who understand this, sometimes think, do not worry, it is different this time, I can control this. Mr. Trump certainly thinks he can control it, but the facts are this is very worrysome for the world over the next several years.
Monday, December 19, 2016
Many People In Asia Do Not Like Trump
Many people in Asia do not particularly like Trump but that is based on what they read on the mainstream media, their media is like ours, they just repeat what the U.S. and the U.K. say, so, the main view here in Asia is that now the United States is pulling out, withdrawing from Asia and that is a gigantic opportunity for China, and China sees it.
Friday, December 16, 2016
When Will the Dollar Start Looking Like a Bubble
One hundred and ten in the Dollar Index certainly does not sound like a bubble to me. I will just have to judge the circumstances at the time. You will be able to read the newspapers and everybody will be talking about how the Dollar is going to go up forever, you will see on TV that the Dollar is the new promised land.
People will be pouring into dollars...I try to judge those things by the mood. Bubbles throughout history everywhere in the world, no matter the asset, always look and sound the same. I hope I am smart enough to recognize it.
People will be pouring into dollars...I try to judge those things by the mood. Bubbles throughout history everywhere in the world, no matter the asset, always look and sound the same. I hope I am smart enough to recognize it.
Thursday, December 15, 2016
The Dollar Strength Will Continue
The U.S. Dollar strength is going to go on for a while. The U.S. Dollar is going to get overprices, the U.S. Dollar may even turn into a bubble. (EUR USD forex cross, USDJPY forex cross, SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Gold: The One Thousand Mark
It may not get to one thousand dollars an ounce, it may not even get there at all. I am pretty bad at market timing. But if it does, I expect to load up. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Barrick Gold (ABX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Goldcorp (GG), Novagold (NG))
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