Junk Bonds: They Will Get Destroyed When Interest Rates Go Higher

I am not shorting U.S. Government Bonds but I am still short U.S. junk bonds still. We are certainly in the process of making a top, but when the top comes, I do not know. 

 When interest rates go higher permanently, the junk bonds are going to get destroyed by interest rates and by credit defaults because many of them are junk! (SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (JNK), iShares iBoxx $ High Yid Corp Bond (ETF)(HYG))

The U.S. Dollar Will Just Go Higher And Higher

I have been around long enough to know that everything is possible, no matter how weird it may sound. In fact, the weirdest it sounds probably the more likely it is going to happen. I doubt that there will be a Plaza accord this time around. It is more likely that the U.S. Dollar will just go higher and higher on its own. It will get too high, it will cause serious credit problems for a lot of people that has borrowed a lot of U.S. Dollars and it will make a lot of American companies less competitive.

The Fundamentals Are Getting Worse Everywhere

The fundamentals are getting worse everywhere except in Russia. (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM), Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX))

The U.S. Dollar Is Having A Correction

The U.S. Dollar is having a correction now. All bull markets need corrections, corrections are good. I have not sold any U.S. Dollars. There is going to be turmoil somewhere along the line, we are already seeing it in some places. The Euro currency is going to have a lot of turmoil year. The U.S. Dollar is going to be a "safe haven". It is not a safe haven but is it perceived as a safe haven.

Emerging Markets: I'm Very Optimistic About Russia

I'm optimistic about Russia and Mr. Trump seems to like Russia a lot. Buy Russian government bonds! (Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

China: A Trade War Will Be Disastrous (iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF (FXI))

I am just watching. I haven`t figured out what Donald Trump is going to do. He keeps saying that he is going to hit them very hard. Trade wars have always been disastrous for everybody. Nobody has ever won a trade war. Trade wars have always led to bankruptcies. So, Mr. Trump does not seem to care about all of that, he thinks he is smarter than history. 

I'm Very, Very Bullish on the U.S. Dollar

I am very, very bullish on the U.S. Dollar for a variety of reasons. The U.S. Dollar is probably one of the best opportunities around right now because there will be a lot of turmoil, people will look for a safe haven. The world thinks the U.S. Dollar is a safe haven. It's not.