I'm looking for I would expect a three and a half of 4 percent deficit more this year I don't know if they'll announce that they'll probably announce 3 percent because they always make it sound better than it is so the deficits going to get bigger thinks it would make me happy would be opening up the Indian economy finally but they're not gonna do that and they're not gonna listen to me. (WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF (EPI))
Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Monday, February 5, 2018
India: The Debt Will Go Higher
As you know there's an election next year and like every election everywhere in the world throughout history everybody is going to get a little present. The debt will go higher the budget will not be balanced. They may say they're going to balance the budget but it's going to get worse. (WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF (EPI))
Friday, February 2, 2018
Gold: I Don't Think It Will Breakout
I don't think it's going to be a breakout year for gold. I still think there will be opportunities in the future to buy gold lower. It's been almost seven years since the high. Sometime in the next year or two I certainly expect for gold to make a low and then to start going higher and higher.
Related trading instruments:
Related trading instruments:
- SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
- Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDX)
Thursday, February 1, 2018
US Treasuries: How China Will Play
If I was in Chinese I would say "No, I'm going to wait until I need to play the card to
start selling the US Treasuries." If they need to take an action they
won't have any bonds to sell. At least if they own a lot of
Treasury bonds they can say to America, "If you do that we're going to sell your
bonds."
Everybody Should Be Selling US Treasuries
Everybody should be selling US Treasuries. We had a bull market since 1981, that's 36-37 years. I don't own any long term US Treasuries, everybody should be selling them for economic reasons as well as for any other reason that they might have. (iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond ETF (TLT), iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEF))
Monday, January 29, 2018
Market Report: Bitcoin, Crude Oil, Sector Investing
Crude Oil: Known Reserves, Fracking, Price
In my view, crude oil is making a bottom. It's a complicated bottom. We will look back someday and say, in 2014-2018 crude oil made its bottom. Known reserves of oil everywhere continue to decline except for fracking but the fracking bubble burst a few years ago.
Now people know that fracking is not magic and that people can lose money in fracking.
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies:
I repeat what I said about IBM and computers, the people who invent something do not necessarily become the ones who succeed but we do you that the world has a money problem.
I repeat what I said about IBM and computers, the people who invent something do not necessarily become the ones who succeed but we do you that the world has a money problem.
Quote of the Day:
"Historically, you buy stocks when they're yielding 6 percent and selling at eight times earnings. You sell them when they're at 22 times earnings and yielding 2 percent." - Jim Rogers
"Historically, you buy stocks when they're yielding 6 percent and selling at eight times earnings. You sell them when they're at 22 times earnings and yielding 2 percent." - Jim Rogers
Sector Investing: Agriculture
The agriculture sector has been a disaster for 35 years. Things are so bad. The average age of an American farmer is 58, the average age in Japan is 68. And do you know that the highest suicide rate in the UK is in the agricultural sector?
The agriculture sector has been a disaster for 35 years. Things are so bad. The average age of an American farmer is 58, the average age in Japan is 68. And do you know that the highest suicide rate in the UK is in the agricultural sector?
The importance of having a second passport:
“Over the next 20 years, being trapped with only one passport, you could suffer very badly.” - Jim Rogers speaking at the 11th Residence and Citizenship by Investment Conference in Hong Kong
“Over the next 20 years, being trapped with only one passport, you could suffer very badly.” - Jim Rogers speaking at the 11th Residence and Citizenship by Investment Conference in Hong Kong
Crude Oil: Price Outlook, Fracking
In my view, crude oil is making a bottom. It's a complicated bottom. We will look back someday and say, in 2014-2018 crude oil made its bottom.
Known reserves of oil everywhere continue to decline except for fracking but the fracking bubble burst a few years ago.
Now people know that fracking is not magic and that people can lose money in fracking. (Nymex Crude Oil futures, Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP))
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