A Trade War Would Cause A Catastrophic Bear Market

In a recent interview with RT.com, Jim Rogers explained that a trade war between the U.S. and China would cause a catastrophic bear market in stocks:

“The next bear market is going to be the worst in my lifetime, just because of the debt, but if we also have a trade war, it’s going to be worse than a disaster,”

Will Bitcoin Succeed? A Few Thoughts.

Regarding Bitcoin I repeat what I said about IBM and computers: the people who invent something don't necessarily become the ones who succeed. 

We do know that the world has a money problem. We do know that the Internet is changing everything we know. My children will probably never go to a bank when they're adults. My children will probably never go to a post office when they're adults. So the Internet is changing everything we know and it's going to change money.

If you go to China now most people don't have money. If they want to buy a cup of tea they put their phone on the spot. If they want to buy a car they put their phone on the spot. So the Internet is gonna change everything we know.

How it's going to evolve I don't know. I do know that governments do not like to lose control., governments want to control everything, the crypto people say, "yes, but we're smarter than the government" and they are. Everybody's smarter than the government but the government has more guns than everybody else so if the government wants to control money they will.

Tariffs Are Not Beneficial

Former U.S. Representative Ron Paul explains why tariffs are not beneficial.

Related stocks: 

• United States Steel Corporation (X) 
• Boeing Co (BA)

Video: Junk Bonds, Stock Market & Interest Rates

Michael Pento interviews Jim Rogers. They discussed the U.S. Economy, precious metals, interest rates and junk bonds.

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)
• SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (JNK)
• SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

Views On Real Estate

Suppose that interest rates go to 6 percent which historically is not so high. Many, many places are going to get killed in real estate. There are plenty of places where real estate is still reasonable. Not in most of America and certainly not in Singapore. I would not suggest buying property in many Asian cities.

Investing: Looking For A Safe Haven

If I were looking for a single safe-haven in 2018, 2019 I would say the U.S. Dollar and if I'm right it is going to get overpriced and it can turn into a bubble if the turmoil really gets bad. If that happens I hope I'm smart enough to sell.

Markets: I'm Short Junk Bonds

I'm short junk bonds. The yield spread between junk bonds and AAA bonds now is very, very narrow (never been this narrow) and when interest rates go higher and they have already started going higher, junk bonds are going to get killed.

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) 
• iShares iBoxx $ High Yid Corp Bond (ETF) (HYG)