China has done a job. They were caught off guard, they were the first to face it, they were surprised. The disappointing thing to me is that the West is not ready either. We had a 3 month notice in America and yet nobody is prepared. We don’t even have testing kits for more than a million people in a country of 325 million people. China, once they got it together, they took very draconian, swift measures and seem to have it under control. I wish I could say that for Italy.
Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Thursday, March 12, 2020
Thursday, March 5, 2020
Stock Market: Panic Is Misplaced
The stock market panic is misplaced. Markets will be OK for a while because central bankers will lower interest rates and governments will keep spending widely.
The U.S. Stock Market Will Rally Back To New Highs
If you ask me today, I would say we would make new highs in the US stock market. Now I use that since it is the largest and most important stock market. I would suspect we would see new highs. We may even have a blow-off bubble. It has been a while since we have had a blow-off bubble in any stock market in the world. So it may turn into a bubble. I do expect at least new highs before the whole thing collapses.
- in Economic Times (March 4, 2020)
Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures
Interest Rates Will Go Even Lower
I expect things to be OK for a while in nearly all markets, including bond markets. These guys are going to drive interest rates to unbelievably low levels. This is not good. I want to tell you again, this is not good for the world. But it is good for the markets for a while.
- in Economic Times (March 4, 2020)
Markets Are Going To Be OK For a While
So now the markets are going to be okay for a while. We may even turn into a huge bubble, because they are going to print a lot more and they are going to spend a lot. It means, in the end, things will be worse, but in the meantime happy days are here.
- in Economic Times (March 4, 2020)
Monday, March 2, 2020
Market Sell-Off: What To Buy
American stocks are down 14 percent. I mean, that's a big deal
but you know, China is like 60 percent from
its all-time high, Japan also. No, I would
probably buy airlines in Asia because
they have been decimated, totally
decimated! Things like airlines, tourism companies, hotel chains, airports.
Sunday, March 1, 2020
The Reason Why Gold Sold Off
Everything is going down and
you go back to previous bear markets, 2008 for instance, everything went down
including gold. For a while gold went down
a lot. Usually in bear
markets people have to sell and they
sell everything in sight including gold
and that's when you buy gold. I'm gonna go buy this
afternoon!
Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM)
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