Monday, February 6, 2017

Commodities: A Big Opportunity

Commodities are bottoming, especially agriculture. Base metals are in the process of making a bottom. In a few years, we are going to look back and say, "What an opportunity that was!" (PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA), Nymex Copper Futures, Nymex Crude Oil futures, United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO))

Friday, February 3, 2017

Crude Oil: Expecting a 40-60 Dollars a Barrel Range

My view is that Oil is making a complicated bottom. I do not think we have seen the low for this year yet. I am not even sure what the low will be. A range of 30 to 60 dollars a barrel, or 40 to 60, something like that. (Nymex Crude Oil futures, United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO))

Gold: In the Process of Finding a Bottom (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))

Corrections and rallies are very common in all markets, does no matter what the market. What we are seeing is the process of gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)) trying to find its bottom and in my view it is not here yet.

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

India: I Don't Like The Populist Budget

I do not like the fact that the Indian budget deficit is going to continue. India will continue to get deeper and deeper into debt. That is populism, Mr. Modi wants to keep everybody happy! (WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF (EPI), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

I Don’t Invest in Momentum Stocks

I don’t really understand high-priced stocks and so I just stay away from momentum stocks.   My investment style is just to find stocks or markets that are depressed and cheap, where there is both value and also some an element of change taking place. In the stock market I like to buy low and sell high.  (Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB), Tesla Motors (TSLA))

Monday, January 30, 2017

Markets: Recession, Interest Rates and Inflation

The problems are getting worse. Japan is already in recession (iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)). Parts of Europe, parts of America are in recession. 

The world has many problems facing it. Interest rates are going back up and a rise in interest rates will hurt a lot of people, it will help some but it will hurt most people. You have inflation rising again. I am not very optimistic about the next 2 or 3 years. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Futures)

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

If Trump Starts A Trade War, Sell Everything!

President Trump very much wants a trade war with Mexico, China, Korea, Japan... And if that really happens, you sell everything, every asset in your portfolio. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

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