Wednesday, November 15, 2023

Iron Ore Shortfall Forecast Despite China's Fiscal Boost

Goldman Sachs predicts a year-end iron ore shortfall due to low inventories and declining production, citing a potential deficit rather than a surplus. The report highlights Beijing's substantial fiscal spending as a positive indicator for domestic growth, potentially boosting demand for iron ore in construction. Despite caution regarding China's property sector challenges, the market outlook leans towards an iron ore deficit.

Target (TGT) Triumph: Profits Soar 15% with Operational Excellence in Q3

Target Corp. (TGT) shares surged following a strong third-quarter earnings report, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency. Improved inventory management and reduced markdowns contributed to profits surpassing estimates, despite a decline in sales. 

Inventory dropped by 14% from the previous year, marking a consistent trend. The stock experienced its most significant rise since August 2019, soaring up to 15% in New York trading.

Post-Rally: Treasuries Decline, U.S. Retail Resilience, and Producer Prices Drop

In the aftermath of a rally, Treasuries experience a decline as astute traders meticulously assess data. Despite a tempered pace in U.S. retail sales preceding the holiday season, their resilience persists. Notably, producer prices exhibit their most substantial decline since April 2020, primarily attributed to a downturn in gasoline prices.

Inflation Eases: U.S. Producer Prices Fall Below Forecasts

Further indications of abating inflation are evident as U.S. Producer Prices experienced a 0.5% decline in October, with a mere 1.3% rise over the past year. These figures significantly deviated from consensus forecasts, which anticipated a 0.1% monthly increase and a 2.0% year-on-year upturn.

Thursday, March 2, 2023

Inflation In Europe Running Hot

"The overall read for EU inflation comes in hotter than expected, with core inflation accelerating to a record 5.6%. Consumer prices rise 8.5% year over year vs an estimate of 8.3%. German 2-year yields hit new post-2008 highs."

--Lisa Abramowicz, Bloomberg

Central Banks Created All This Inflation Nightmare

"The Federal Reserve and other central banks spent over a decade deliberately creating inflation. We're now starting to suffer the consequences, as consumer prices must rise to find a new equilibrium price between the supply of goods for sale and the quantity of money available to buy them."

-- Peter Schiff 

The ECB Made An Error

"In 2018 the official inflation rate in the Eurozone was 1.74%. But the European Central Bank (ECB) thought 1.74% was too far below its mandate of inflation close to, but below 2%. So the European Central Bank (ECB) held the deposit rate at -.4% and continued a massive QE program to lift the rate closer to 2%. Now it's 8.4%!"

-- Peter Schiff

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