It looks like a bubble but bubbles can go on for a long time and they often do but just because it looks like a bubble doesn't mean it's the end of the story.
Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Monday, December 11, 2017
This Economic System Cannot Last
The economic system which has
evolved in the world especially in the
US but not just the US cannot be sustained
because it is built on staggering
amounts of debt. The United States is now the largest debtor
nation not just in the world but in
the history of the world. No country has
ever gotten so deep in debt and the debt
goes higher and higher every day.
Nobody's doing anything about it except some worrying like me or worry knowing it cannot go on and not only is it based on lots of debt but to sustain the debt or to maintain it they now print a lot of money. The central bank in America gets out its printing presses, prints a lot of money and uses that to finance the debt going forward so this cannot last forever. I'm afraid it's not gonna last too much longer because we're getting to the end of the road.
Nobody's doing anything about it except some worrying like me or worry knowing it cannot go on and not only is it based on lots of debt but to sustain the debt or to maintain it they now print a lot of money. The central bank in America gets out its printing presses, prints a lot of money and uses that to finance the debt going forward so this cannot last forever. I'm afraid it's not gonna last too much longer because we're getting to the end of the road.
Sunday, December 10, 2017
The Reason Why I Prefer Japanese and Chinese Shares
It looks like there's a blowout in place you know and it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having one now. But I would buy Japan if this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down 50 percent from their all-time, high Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd rather buy low instead of buying high.
Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)
Tuesday, December 5, 2017
U.S. Stock Market: One Year From Now, Stocks Will Be Lower
I suspect we will hit new more new highs which will surprise everybody including me but next year at this time stocks will be down.
Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Futures
Bitcoin: The Chart Looks Like A Bubble
If you just showed me charts and showed me what's happened in that market over the past year or two and didn't tell me what it was I would say, "this looks like every bubble I've ever read about".
I don't own any Bitcoin, I've never bought or sold so I'm not a good one to ask but it sure looks like the picture of every bubble I've seen.
I don't own any Bitcoin, I've never bought or sold so I'm not a good one to ask but it sure looks like the picture of every bubble I've seen.
Stock Market: There's a Blowout in Place
It looks like
there's a blowout in place you know and
it often happens in markets every 10, 20, 30 years we have them we may be having
one now. But I would buy Japan if
this happened (tax cut), Japanese markets are down
50 percent from their all-time, high
Chinese stocks are down 40 percent and I'd
rather buy low instead of buying high.
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
The Reason Why I'm Investing in Russia
In my experience I have learned
that if you find something that's hated, that has a lot of value and things are
getting better you probably will do fine
and that's why I'm investing in Russia. (Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
Investing: Agriculture Will Do Well In The Next Bear Market
I'm very optimistic about
Agriculture's been a disaster for 35
years and it's changing in my view. It's
changing so if you're worried about the
world and that we are going to have a serious
bear market you should think about
agriculture because agriculture will
probably do well, that is a place that will probably decouple
in the next bear market.
Commodities: Coal, Steel and Agriculture
I'm a director of a coal company so we
obviously should worry about Chinese
coal. I do own commodities yes, but Steel is
not high on my list because it's there's
no real active futures market but some
commodities I'm very optimistic about. Agriculture's been a disaster for 35
years it's changing in my view.
Monday, November 27, 2017
A Hot Sector In China
If you're cleaning up
pollution in China you don't care if
the West disappears as you're too busy going
to work every day and you're making too
much money but the companies that have debt and deal with the West are gonna
have problems the next time around.
Buying Opportunities In Japan, China and Taiwan
I bought stocks this week in China, Japan, Taiwan so I
see opportunities on the long side in
markets. That doesn't mean I'm right. A bear market may start today but I see
opportunities. But if you're worried
about that you need to know how to sell
short. Great fortunes can be made in a
bear market selling short.
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