Hedge fund wizard: writing market magic in stealth mode, because even financial superheroes need a secret identity.
Monday, December 5, 2016
Crude Oil Outlook: A Trading Range With Some Upside
I own some crude oil but I am not a good market timer or a good trader. My view is that we are in a complicated bottoming process that could last a couple of years. So far the trading range has been between 30 and 40 dollars a barrel, it will likely be a little bit more on the upside of that range. 60 dollars a barrel is not an unusual price for crude oil. (United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Nymex Crude Oil futures, Marathon Oil (MRO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE))
Friday, December 2, 2016
Investors Should Own Energy
Investors should own energy because reserves of energy continue to decline around the world and so, crude oil fundamentals are still getting better. (Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP))
Crude Oil: The Market Is Smarter Than OPEC
The question is that the market is way smarter than oil producers, smarter than OPEC. So, I do not really pay much attention to OPEC meetings. They can sit down and have meetings that will go on for days and nights but there are a lot of oil producers in the world that are not on the agreement to cut production. (Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Marathon Oil (MRO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), ConocoPhillips (COP))
Thursday, December 1, 2016
The OPEC Cut: What's Ahead For Oil?
The OPEC cut announcement is not surprising to me but the key is to wait and see if they really do it. OPEC has made these kind of announcements for decades. Most have not really worked but this one is making crude oil go up and it will probably continue to do so. But what really matter is that crude oil fundamentals are continuing to improve. (Nymex Crude Oil futures, Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP))
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Markets: The Problems Are Coming No Matter Who Is The President
What is going to happen is worse than anything that you have seen in your lifetime and we are all going to be extraordinarily affected. Be worried. The problems are coming no matter who is the President. The world has huge problems facing us.
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
The World Never Solved Its Problems By Printing Money
Never has the world been able to solve its problems by printing money. That is why the debt goes higher and higher because interest rates are next to nothing and the central banks buy the debt.
Monday, November 28, 2016
Finance As An Industry Is In Decline
The finance industry has been good for the past 3 decades, but it was not a good industry to be in the 3 decades before that period. Now the financial industry is declining and in the future. The center of the business world will be the producers of real stuff, real goods not finance. (Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC))
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